[don't take my wall of text as disagreement, this is awesome discussion!]I agree with almost everything CV428 said, except this:
Consumer demand for increasingly electronic and feature-heavy vehicles has driven manufacturers to prioritize (poor and rushed) software integration, advanced (glitchy) infotainment systems, and (janky, unreliable, annoying) semi-automated driver aids, often at the expense of mechanical simplicity and long-term durability.
Since I was "on the other side" of the market for quite some time (I was a dealer), I don't think consumers ever "demanded" computerized vehicles, big touch screens, and the myriads of other, useless features of today's cars ("lane keeping" anyone?). There are two ways of making profit on cars,....."front end", and the "back end". Competition is cutthroat in this business, and OTD prices NEED to be competitive to generate volume. Cars have to have lowest possible OTD price on the market. So how to stay in business? The answer is in the "back".
Automakers are spending fortunes to engineer cars that the average mechanic (without factory training) cannot work on them. They also carefully calculate the "service life" of ALL components and offer "warranty" based on that. Just look at posts where people say that something broke "as soon as it was out of warranty". On the top of that, there are parts, tools, and systems that only dealers have access to, so the average owner will not be able to perform any repairs.
US manufacturers are way behind on this, in comparison to Euro manufacturers. Mercedes, BMW, Porche, and the Italians are way ahead of the curve on this. They figured it out first. Try to do ANYTHING on a Ferrari (example) without "specialized, dealer only tools" and you'll find out. Mercedes is not far behind.
"Long term reliability" is NOT in anyone's best interest. IF the today's vehicle would be produced to last 500K miles or more (like a MBZ diesel of yesteryear), market would shrink to the point of driving MANY manufacturers out of business. Add to that the working generation of today that grew up on computers and video games, and you've got the picture. People of today don't want to keep the same vehicle for ten or more years. It's not that they "demand" gadgets, but gadgets are what sells to the youngsters.
So, I see where you are coming from. I believe we're actually on the same page and just circling the same point. You are right, consumers never pushed and said "make vehicles we can't work on that are over-computerized!" They voted with their money (or more accurately, the bank's money financed to them). They got a taste of a feature and refused to get another vehicle without that feature, ratcheting up their desires and lifestyle inflation.
I agree 100% on the "engineering to be painful to maintain" aspect. The McFlurry machine scandal is a testament to that. There's a reason I didn't buy a John Deere tractor, too.
I agree and disagree on the "Long term reliability is not in anyone's best interest" statement though. There are massive pros and cons to longer lifecycles and more reliable componentry. There's reason why I refuse to replace my fridge- the compressor in it was US made, and it'll run forever. The cost of fixing my ice maker would be almost as much as buying a new fridge that will last all of 3 years, so I make it the old fashioned way. I value the compressor lasting more than fancy features on a new fridge. If consumer items are more reliable, the manufacturing is short lived. The negative only applies if manufacturing cannot reposture itself. 60 second takt time caters to a throwaway culture, and it comes at a massive cost. A boring market is actually friendlier to the consumer, but the manufacturers are too focused on maintaining layers of unnecessary business bloat to self-regulate their size. I got thrown off a team 9 years ago when I questioned "hey, if the analysts say we'll lose 40% of department efficiency by doing this, why the hell are we still doing this?" For the same reasons consumers don't like to scale back on features, businesses don't like flattening their structures.
The truth is, nothing is without consequence. If cars could be $15k new, safe, simple, and last to 500k, but some massive profit-hungry Fortune 500 companies would have to shrink, would that be a bad thing? It would require cultural change, but I believe it would be better for all. Younger generations would be able to repair their own vehicles rather than paying a local repair shop to outsource to a dealership, plus repair costs would be lower. MTBF has diminishing returns too. Even if an alternator still only lasts 100k-120k, but it's a common item with volume to support it, and ease of replacement, the overall cost to the consumer is lower. For the same reason industry is standardizing on USB-C, perhaps auto manufacturers should be forced to use similar components and support them for longer than 2 years.
60 years ago, you could get a fridge in 12 different colors. Same fridge. Same internals. Same everything, just a different color. It was the same fridge for years, same tooling, same manufacturing process. They kept the tooling until it was worn out, then either repaired or replaced it, and continued. Those businesses survived by diversifying their offerings instead of focusing on unlimited options on a single product line. The same could happen today, but it would require consumers to humble themselves. That's why it'll never happen.
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