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There is simply no way that #3 could ever offset #2. It's smoke and mirrors to suggest otherwise.I hope this taken as analysis, and not political.
According to an article I came across, the administration's agenda is five-fold. Some of these will affect us very quickly, others later.
1) Energy independence
2) Lowering taxes
3) Reduce the Federal deficit by addressing waste and fraud
4) Address our negative balance of payments in foreign trade (thus, tariffs)
5) Increasing our manufacturing base (thus, tariffs)
As I see it, energy prices are coming down, and should have a fairly immediate salutary effect.
Lowering taxes and reducing the Federal deficit are intermediate objectives, and we might see progress on those in maybe a year.
But: addressing our balance of payments and increasing out manufacturing base are like the proverbial turning-the-aircraft carrier, and we'll see--over the next few years--whether anything gets done on that. But right now--the tariff policy is very confusing and unsettling.
Here is where the money goes:
Trade deficits aren't our problem. It's budget deficits.
Why? Because we borrow money from abroad, which in turn impacts exchange rates, which is how the trade imbalance actually occurs.
We buy foreign goods using dollars, which we then borrow from foreign countries, and the cycle continues.
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