Your place in line is only as good as your selected dealers allocations. You could be first in line, but if your dealer didn't sell enough Bronco Sports and Escapes, you will be the last person to receive a Raptor.
I watched a YouTube video and it looked fairly simple. I've had to repair trailer wiring numerous times and it didn't look very difficult at all. As long as the aftermarket harness and hitch are in stock, I would have no concerns switching.
I don't see where this scenario plays out anytime in the next 3 years. Allocations will continue to be a key factor and believe that people will be able to walk into some dealerships, order and have vehicles delivered in months while many people with 2020 reservations and identical builds will...
I have a hard time justifying the price of my Bronco at MSRP let alone paying an ADM when I know damn well that I could still run the same trails on a less expensive rig. Unless Armageddon comes in the next 2 years, prices will once again return to what we are used to.
It doesn't sound like the dual top option is available right now, so it sounds like the soft top will fit your needs for now until the aftermarket catches up. Many people currently with the soft top indicate that they're happy with it in the winter.
I think it depends upon how the will use it. Do you need the roof rack? If so, the hard top is your only option short of a big tubular frame. I can tell you, this is one of the hardest options for me to choose. I ordered the soft top due to ease of opening and ability to always carry that...